Pre-tourney Rankings
Middle Tennessee
Conference USA
2017-18
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.4#63
Expected Predictive Rating+9.9#56
Pace66.0#250
Improvement+0.3#174

Offense
Total Offense+4.2#63
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebound+0.0#1
Layup/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+0.0#177

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#63
First Shot+0.0#1
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#1
Layups/Dunks+0.0#1
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#1
Freethrows+0.0#1
Improvement+0.3#166
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.9% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 25.9% n/a n/a
Average Seed 10.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four19.9% n/a n/a
First Round15.0% n/a n/a
Second Round5.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2017 75   @ Murray St. W 72-67 42%     1 - 0 +15.4 +5.2 +5.2
  Nov 16, 2017 91   Belmont L 63-69 71%     1 - 1 -3.3 +1.3 +1.3
  Nov 18, 2017 209   @ Tennessee St. W 75-65 78%     2 - 1 +10.1 +0.1 +0.1
  Nov 21, 2017 127   Florida Gulf Coast W 85-72 81%     3 - 1 +12.2 -0.4 -0.4
  Dec 02, 2017 127   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 81-76 62%     4 - 1 +10.2 +2.6 +2.6
  Dec 06, 2017 84   @ Vanderbilt W 66-63 46%     5 - 1 +12.4 +4.7 +4.7
  Dec 09, 2017 100   Mississippi W 77-58 73%     6 - 1 +21.0 +1.0 +1.0
  Dec 16, 2017 15   Auburn L 70-76 27%     6 - 2 +8.7 +7.4 +7.4
  Dec 22, 2017 184   Princeton W 69-67 82%     7 - 2 +0.7 -0.6 -0.6
  Dec 23, 2017 36   USC L 84-89 39%     7 - 3 +6.3 +5.7 +5.7
  Dec 25, 2017 38   Miami (FL) L 81-84 40%     7 - 4 +8.1 +5.6 +5.6
  Dec 30, 2017 118   @ UAB W 63-60 58%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +9.4 +3.2 +3.2
  Jan 04, 2018 239   @ Florida International W 71-66 OT 83%     9 - 4 2 - 0 +3.5 -0.8 -0.8
  Jan 06, 2018 245   @ Florida Atlantic W 61-57 83%     10 - 4 3 - 0 +2.1 -1.0 -1.0
  Jan 11, 2018 160   Louisiana Tech W 72-57 85%     11 - 4 4 - 0 +12.5 -1.2 -1.2
  Jan 13, 2018 229   Southern Miss W 69-49 92%     12 - 4 5 - 0 +13.0 -3.5 -3.5
  Jan 18, 2018 115   @ Marshall L 63-73 57%     12 - 5 5 - 1 -3.4 +3.3 +3.3
  Jan 20, 2018 71   @ Western Kentucky W 66-62 41%     13 - 5 6 - 1 +14.7 +5.4 +5.4
  Jan 25, 2018 177   Texas San Antonio W 75-51 87%     14 - 5 7 - 1 +20.1 -1.9 -1.9
  Jan 27, 2018 249   UTEP W 81-50 93%     15 - 5 8 - 1 +22.8 -4.1 -4.1
  Feb 01, 2018 77   @ Old Dominion W 66-59 43%     16 - 5 9 - 1 +17.2 +5.1 +5.1
  Feb 03, 2018 313   @ Charlotte W 78-73 91%     17 - 5 10 - 1 -1.3 -3.1 -3.1
  Feb 08, 2018 295   Rice W 94-75 95%     18 - 5 11 - 1 +8.1 -5.5 -5.5
  Feb 10, 2018 193   North Texas W 79-73 89%     19 - 5 12 - 1 +0.9 -2.5 -2.5
  Feb 15, 2018 229   @ Southern Miss W 72-62 81%     20 - 5 13 - 1 +9.1 -0.5 -0.5
  Feb 17, 2018 160   @ Louisiana Tech W 87-70 68%     21 - 5 14 - 1 +20.5 +1.8 +1.8
  Feb 24, 2018 118   UAB W 79-54 78%     22 - 5 15 - 1 +25.3 +0.2 +0.2
  Mar 01, 2018 71   Western Kentucky W 82-64 64%     23 - 5 16 - 1 +22.7 +2.3 +2.3
  Mar 03, 2018 115   Marshall L 67-76 77%     23 - 6 16 - 2 -8.4 +0.3 +0.3
  Mar 08, 2018 229   Southern Miss L 68-71 OT 87%     23 - 7 -7.0 -2.0 -2.0
Projected Record 23.0 - 7.0 16.0 - 2.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 100.0    100.0
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 25.9% 25.9% 10.8 0.0 0.2 1.0 4.6 19.1 1.0 74.1 25.9%
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 25.9% 0.0% 25.9% 10.8 0.0 0.2 1.0 4.6 19.1 1.0 74.1 25.9%